Tuesday, December 23, 2014
Tweet[IWS] CRS: BORDER SECURITY: IMMIGRATION ENFORCEMENT BETWEEN PORTS OF ENTRY [18 December 2014]
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Congressional Research Service (CRS)
Border Security: Immigration Enforcement Between Ports of Entry
Lisa Seghetti, Section Research Manager
December 18, 2014
http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/homesec/R42138.pdf
[full-text, 48 pages]
Summary
Border enforcement is a core element of the Department of Homeland Security’s effort to control
unauthorized migration, with the U.S. Border Patrol (USBP) within the U.S. Customs and Border
Protection (CBP) as the lead agency along most of the border. Border enforcement has been an
ongoing subject of congressional interest since the 1970s, when illegal immigration to the United
States first registered as a serious national problem; and border security has received additional
attention in the years since the terrorist attacks of 2001.
Since the 1990s, migration control at the border has been guided by a strategy of “prevention
through deterrence”—the idea that the concentration of personnel, infrastructure, and surveillance
technology along heavily trafficked regions of the border will discourage unauthorized aliens
from attempting to enter the United States. Since 2005, CBP has attempted to discourage repeat
illegal migrant entries and disrupt migrant smuggling networks by imposing tougher penalties
against certain unauthorized aliens, a set of policies eventually described as “enforcement with
consequences.” Most people apprehended at the Southwest border are now subject to “high
consequence” enforcement outcomes.
Across a variety of indicators, the United States has substantially expanded border enforcement
resources over the last three decades. Particularly since 2001, such increases include border
security appropriations, personnel, fencing and infrastructure, and surveillance technology. In
addition to increased resources, the USBP has implemented several strategies over the past
several decades in an attempt to thwart illegal migration. Recently, the Obama Administration
announced executive actions to “fix” the immigration system. These actions address numerous
issues, including a security plan at the southern border.
The Border Patrol collects data on several different border enforcement outcomes; and this report
describes trends in border apprehensions, recidivism, and estimated got aways and turn backs. Yet
none of these existing data are designed to measure illegal border flows or the degree to which
the border is secured. Thus, the report also describes methods for estimating illegal border flows
based on enforcement data and migrant surveys.
Drawing on multiple data sources, the report suggests conclusions about the state of border
security. Robust investments at the border were not associated with reduced illegal inflows during
the 1980s and 1990s, but a range of evidence suggests a substantial drop in illegal inflows in
2007-2011, followed by a slight rise in 2012 and a more dramatic rise in 2013. Enforcement,
along with the economic downturn in the United States, likely contributed to the drop in
unauthorized migration, though the precise share of the decline attributable to enforcement is
unknown.
Enhanced border enforcement also may have contributed to a number of secondary costs and
benefits. To the extent that border enforcement successfully deters illegal entries, such
enforcement may reduce border-area violence and migrant deaths, protect fragile border
ecosystems, and improve the quality of life in border communities. But to the extent that aliens
are not deterred, the concentration of enforcement resources on the border may increase border
area violence and migrant deaths, encourage unauthorized migrants to find new ways to enter
illegally and to remain in the United States for longer periods of time, damage border ecosystems,
harm border-area businesses and the quality of life in border communities, and strain U.S.
relations with Mexico and Canada.
Contents
Introduction ...................................................................................................................................... 1
Border Patrol History and Strategy .................................................................................................. 2
Border Patrol Strategic Plans ..................................................................................................... 3
National Strategic Plan ........................................................................................................ 3
National Border Patrol Strategy .......................................................................................... 4
Border Patrol Strategic Plan ................................................................................................ 5
DHS Secure Border Initiative .................................................................................................... 6
CBP Consequence Delivery System .......................................................................................... 7
Southern Border Campaign Plan ............................................................................................. 12
Budget and Resources .................................................................................................................... 12
Border Security Appropriations ............................................................................................... 12
Border Patrol Personnel ........................................................................................................... 14
National Guard Troops at the Border ................................................................................ 15
Fencing and Tactical Infrastructure ......................................................................................... 16
Surveillance Assets .................................................................................................................. 18
Aerial and Marine Surveillance ......................................................................................... 19
Border Patrol Enforcement Data .................................................................................................... 20
Alien Apprehensions ............................................................................................................... 20
Southwest Border Apprehensions by Sector ..................................................................... 21
Unique Subjects and Alien Recidivism ................................................................................... 22
Estimated “Got Aways” and “Turn Backs” ............................................................................. 24
Additional Border Security Data: Migrant Surveys ....................................................................... 24
Probability of Apprehension .................................................................................................... 25
Border Deterrence ................................................................................................................... 25
Smuggling Fees ....................................................................................................................... 26
Metrics of Border Security ............................................................................................................ 27
The Residual Method for Estimating Unauthorized Residents in the United States ............... 29
CBP Metrics of Border Security .............................................................................................. 30
Operational Control of the Border .................................................................................... 30
Border Conditions Index ................................................................................................... 30
Border Patrol Effectiveness Rate ...................................................................................... 31
Estimating Illegal Flows Using Recidivism Data .................................................................... 31
How Secure is the U.S. Border? .................................................................................................... 32
Unintended and Secondary Consequences of Border Enforcement .............................................. 35
Border-Area Crime and Migrant Deaths ................................................................................. 35
Migration Flows: “Caging” Effects and Alternative Modes of Entry ..................................... 38
Environmental Impact ............................................................................................................. 39
Effects on Border Communities and Civil Rights ................................................................... 39
Effects on Regional Relations ................................................................................................. 41
Conclusion: Understanding the Costs and Benefits of Border Enforcement between Ports
of Entry ....................................................................................................................................... 41
Figures
Figure 1. CBP “Enforcement with Consequences,” FY2005-FY2012 .......................................... 10
Figure 2. U.S. Border Patrol Appropriations, FY1989-FY2014 .................................................... 13
Figure 3. U.S. Border Patrol Agents, Total and by Region, FY1980-FY2013 .............................. 15
Figure 4. Tactical Infrastructure Appropriations and Miles of Border Fencing, FY1996-FY2013 ........................................... 17
Figure 5. Total USBP Apprehensions of Deportable Aliens, FY1960-FY2012 ............................. 21
Figure 6. U.S. Border Patrol Apprehensions of Deportable Aliens, Southwest Border, by Selected Sectors, FY1992-FY2013 ....................... 22
Figure 7. USBP Southwest Border Unique Subjects and Recidivism Rates ................................. 23
Figure 8. Smuggling Fees Paid by Unauthorized Mexican Migrants, 1980-2010 ......................... 27
Figure 9. Total Estimated Illegal Border Inflows, by Assumed Rate of Deterrence ...................... 34
Figure 10. Known Migrant Deaths, Southwest Border, 1985-2012 .............................................. 37
Tables
Table 1. Consequence Delivery System Outcomes and Recidivism Rates .................................... 11
Appendixes
Appendix. Capture-Recapture Methodology ................................................................................. 43
Contacts
Author Contact Information........................................................................................................... 44
Acknowledgments ......................................................................................................................... 44
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