Wednesday, September 16, 2009

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[IWS] Challenger: RETAILERS HOPEFUL FOR HOLIDAYS--HIRING COULD BE SLOW [16 September 2009]

IWS Documented News Service
_______________________________
Institute for Workplace Studies----------------- Professor Samuel B. Bacharach
School of Industrial & Labor Relations
-------- Director, Institute for Workplace Studies
Cornell University
16 East 34th Street, 4th floor
---------------------- Stuart Basefsky
New York, NY 10016
-------------------------------Director, IWS News Bureau
________________________________________________________________________

Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc.

CONTACTS
James K. Pedderson, Director of Public Relations
Office: 312-422-5078
Mobile: 847-567-1463
jamespedderson@challengergray.com

Colleen Madden, Media Relations Manager
Office: 312-422-5074
colleenmadden@challengergray.com


Press Release 16 September 2009
Retailers See Some Hope Heading into Holidays
seasonal hiring could STAY slow as retailers remain cautious

CHICAGO, September 16, 2009 ­ Better-than-expected back-to-school sales results may lift the spirits of many retailers who were probably anticipating a bleak holiday season.  However, more optimism may not necessarily lead to increased seasonal hiring by cautious retailers, according to annual holiday hiring forecast released Wednesday by global outplacement consultancy Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc.

"Holiday hiring might improve slightly over last year, but only because 2008 saw the lowest seasonal employment growth in nearly 20 years.  With millions of Americans out of work and many more simply cutting back on all discretionary spending, few retailers will take the risk of eating into slim profits with extra workers," said John A. Challenger, chief executive officer of Challenger, Gray & Christmas.

Last year, retail employment grew by just 384,300 from October through December, according to non-seasonally adjusted data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.  That was nearly 50 percent fewer than in 2007, when retailers added 720,800 workers during the holiday months.

The 384,300 seasonal workers hired in 2008 represent the lowest holiday hiring figure since 1989, when retailers added just 380,500 workers.

While there have been some signs that the recession may be over, conditions have remained dismal for retailers.  As a result, employers in the sector have announced 89,242 job cuts through August, an 82 percent surge from the 48,971 retail job cuts recorded in the first eight months of 2008.

"However, there are some signs of hope," said Challenger.  "After heavy downsizing in the first quarter, job cuts in the retail sector slowed significantly in the second quarter and are on track to be even lower in the third quarter.  Additionally, the latest data on retail sales were better than expected."

The latest report from the Commerce Department shows that retail sales increased by 2.7 percent in August, after falling 0.2 percent in July.  It was the biggest gain in three years.  Much of the sales increase was due to robust car sales ignited by the government's cash-for-clunkers program.  However, other retail categories saw improvement, including apparel, up 2.4 percent; sporting goods, up 2.3 percent; and general merchandise, up 1.6 percent.

"The stronger sales figures heading into the holidays could boost seasonal hiring above last year's meager activity.  But the hiring surge may come later than normal this year, as many retailers wait to see how holiday sales are going before adding extra workers," said Challenger.

"The good news for retailers is that if there is a need for late hiring, the labor pool is flush with qualified candidates who undoubtedly would be eager to earn some extra holiday spending money and take advantage of employee discounts," said Challenger.

According to Challenger, the best opportunities for seasonal job seekers will be at the large discounters like Target and Wal-Mart, which will be heavily favored by cost-conscious consumers this holiday season.  However, job seekers may have to look beyond the sales clerk positions for available spots.

"The big box stores need extra workers on the floor, but they also need extra workers in their shipping facilities and overnight stocking positions.  Opportunities also exist outside of retail, in areas like catering and with shipping companies such as UPS and FedEx," said Challenger.

"Job seekers should also be prepared to be on standby.  In other words, retailers may conduct interviews in September and October and prepare a list of hirable candidates that they will call only when it becomes obvious that more manpower will be needed.

When job seeking in retail or any other sector, it is important to remember some key interview guidelines: dress appropriately, be on time, show enthusiasm and follow up.  According to one hiring manager, the biggest mistake job applicants make when seeking a holiday position is "demanding a specific schedule from prospective employers."

Temporary workers must be prepared to be flexible, whether it is hours or type of work.  Either can vary as the holiday season progresses.

"Holiday job seekers should start their search by contacting friends already working in establishments that could need holiday workers.  You should also target establishments of which you are a frequent customer.  If there are certain retail outlets where you would prefer to work, start going there when business is slow and try to make a connection with a manager or assistant manager.  The key is separating yourself from the pile of applicants the store will see between now and Halloween," Challenger concluded.

# # #


 JOBS ADDED IN RETAIL TRADE
October, November, December, 1999-2008
                         Oct                      Nov       Dec            TOTAL           Job Growth Compared to Previous Year
1999            172,300         369,000         308,100          849,400                 8.0%
2000            143,700         393,800         250,600         788,100         -7.2%
2001            95,700                 352,000         137,600         585,300            -25.7%
2002            125,900         350,400         193,300         669,600         14.4%
2003            145,100         305,000         189,900         640,000          -4.4%
2004            157,800         371,800         180,600         710,200         11.0%
2005            122,300         392,700         196,400         711,400         0.2%
2006            150,600         427,200         169,000         746,800         5.0%
2007            87,900                465,400          167,500            720,800                  -3.5%
2008            59,100                233,700       91,500        384,300                  -46.7%
2009            ???                       ???                 ???          ???
AVERAGE          126,040     366,100     188,450         680,590

Source: Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc., with data provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics


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****************************************
Stuart Basefsky                   
Director, IWS News Bureau                
Institute for Workplace Studies 
Cornell/ILR School                        
16 E. 34th Street, 4th Floor             
New York, NY 10016                        
                                   
Telephone: (607) 255-2703                
Fax: (607) 255-9641                       
E-mail: smb6@cornell.edu                  
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