Wednesday, January 26, 2005

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[IWS] OLD STUDY: Forecasts to 2015 for the U.S. [online January 2005]

IWS Documented News Service
_______________________________
Institute for Workplace Studies                 Professor Samuel B. Bacharach
School of Industrial & Labor Relations          Director, Institute for Workplace Studies
Cornell University
16 East 34th Street, 4th floor                  Stuart Basefsky
New York, NY 10016                      Director, IWS News Bureau
________________________________________________________________________

[Please Note: This is an OLD STUDY from 1991 -- now publicly available. It could be useful as a benchmark for validity of prediction (or the contrary). At least it may shed light on why one must be skeptical about prediction and forecasting].

Library of Congress


DOMESTIC TRENDS TO THE YEAR 2015: FORECASTS FOR THE UNITED STATES [Old Study]
Demography
The Economy
Resources
Education
Society
Technology
Military Science
Geopolitics and Threat
A Report Prepared under an Interagency Agreement
by the Federal Research Division,
Library of Congress
July 1991
http://www.loc.gov/rr/frd/domestic_trends.pdf
[full-text, 261 pages]

[excerpt]
The study you are about to read is the product of many analysts' research and study.
Those analysts are identified as authors of the respective papers constituting the work. This project
concerns the prediction of future United States domestic trends to the year 2015. It has offered everyone
an opportunity to think creatively and project into the future. While this is a difficult task, it is
nevertheless exciting and challenging. We have all learned and profited from the experience.

(Thanks to Gary Price at ResourceShelf.com for the tip).


_____________________________
This information is provided to subscribers, friends, faculty, students and alumni of the School of Industrial & Labor Relations (ILR). It is a service of the Institute for Workplace Studies (IWS) in New York City. Stuart Basefsky is responsible for the selection of the contents which is intended to keep researchers, companies, workers, and governments aware of the latest information related to ILR disciplines as it becomes available for the purposes of research, understanding and debate. The content does not reflect the opinions or positions of Cornell University, the School of Industrial & Labor Relations, or that of Mr. Basefsky and should not be construed as such. The service is unique in that it provides the original source documentation, via links, behind the news and research of the day. Use of the information provided is unrestricted. However, it is requested that users acknowledge that the information was found via the IWS Documented News Service.

****************************************
Stuart Basefsky                 *
Director, IWS News Bureau               *
Institute for Workplace Studies *
Cornell/ILR School                      *
16 E. 34th Street, 4th Floor            *
New York, NY 10016                      *
                                        *
Telephone: (607) 255-2703               *
Fax: (607) 255-9641                     *
E-mail: smb6@cornell.edu                *
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