Monday, December 07, 2009

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[IWS] GAO: U.S. LABOR FORCE STATISTICS: Illustrative Simulations of the Likely Effects of Underrepresenting Unauthorized Residents. GAO-10-99, November 30. [online 7 December 2009]

IWS Documented News Service
_______________________________
Institute for Workplace Studies----------------- Professor Samuel B. Bacharach
School of Industrial & Labor Relations-------- Director, Institute for Workplace Studies
Cornell University
16 East 34th Street, 4th floor----------------------
Stuart Basefsky
New York, NY 10016 -------------------------------Director, IWS News Bureau
________________________________________________________________________

 

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

 

U.S. Labor Force Statistics:  Illustrative Simulations of the Likely Effects of Underrepresenting Unauthorized Residents.  GAO-10-99, November 30.
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-10-99
[full-text, 61 pages]

 

[excerpt]

In times of economic uncertainty as well as in times of stability, policymakers and the public rely on labor force statistics, such as the unemployment rate, to provide important information on the current state of the economy. These statistics, published by the Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), include key figures that are based on data obtained from the Current Population Survey (CPS). The CPS, a household interview survey administered by the Department of Commerce’s U.S. Census Bureau, is designed to represent the entire United States civilian noninstitutional population. However, certain U.S. residents—specifically, foreign-born persons who are not authorized to live here, to whom we refer as unauthorized residents in this report—may not be represented in CPS data to the same extent as the general population. Little research has been done on whether potential underrepresentation of the unauthorized population might noticeably affect labor statistics, but policy efforts that depend on valid and reliable labor force statistics would benefit from such information.

 

We agreed with your office to examine issues concerning unauthorized residents’ impact on labor force statistics. We addressed the following key questions:

1. Extent of underrepresentation: What is known about the extent of any underrepresentation of unauthorized residents in CPS data used to compile labor force statistics?

2. Labor force status: What is known about the likely labor force status of unauthorized residents?

3. Possible effects: How might CPS underrepresen



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Stuart Basefsky                   
Director, IWS News Bureau                
Institute for Workplace Studies 
Cornell/ILR School                        
16 E. 34th Street, 4th Floor             
New York, NY 10016                        
                                   
Telephone: (607) 255-2703                
Fax: (607) 255-9641                       
E-mail: smb6@cornell.edu                  
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